Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 6.224548 7.020136 7.891492 8.918776 10.099461 11.417088 13.003235
2024-12-29 5.278412 6.372805 7.666973 9.318866 11.383495 13.894585 17.203946
2025-01-05 4.512261 5.728698 7.251628 9.315831 12.067463 15.646775 20.716681
2025-01-12 3.942733 5.210501 6.872068 9.236885 12.560989 17.134440 24.020815
2025-01-19 3.351636 4.572956 6.233344 8.691568 12.299879 17.499585 25.739482
2025-01-26 3.060851 4.302610 6.049809 8.735023 12.843048 19.033332 29.344928
2025-02-02 2.891267 4.179184 6.050788 9.030822 13.773776 21.235576 34.285371
2025-02-09 2.714452 4.022830 5.980158 9.198234 14.508412 23.201036 39.108704
2025-02-16 2.550023 3.866455 5.888998 9.314341 15.159880 25.092462 44.068280
2025-02-23 2.402793 3.721254 5.797780 9.413617 15.783267 26.997182 49.324523
2025-03-02 2.198076 3.465557 5.504091 9.138633 15.717547 27.659388 52.305581
2025-03-09 2.061147 3.308315 5.356856 9.097409 16.057597 29.092518 57.009272
2025-03-16 1.922637 3.140660 5.183234 9.002004 16.305620 30.418894 61.797743
2025-03-23 1.876457 3.126138 5.271203 9.390084 17.517718 33.797135 71.592661
2025-03-30 1.772538 3.002291 5.155044 9.383361 17.952464 35.653823 78.322601
2025-04-06 1.667792 2.868462 5.008974 9.302952 18.225424 37.200985 84.603891
2025-04-13 1.508488 2.624494 4.641579 8.753077 17.460214 36.394103 85.010343
2025-04-20 1.441284 2.544653 4.574218 8.796840 17.961137 38.472063 93.061842
2025-04-27 1.410596 2.530261 4.629315 9.094998 19.050050 42.049259 105.749367
2025-05-04 1.366265 2.486460 4.623357 9.263752 19.867848 45.101021 117.651905
2025-05-11 1.319084 2.433600 4.594938 9.380793 20.579275 47.994205 129.727515
2025-05-18 1.273237 2.380012 4.560593 9.480869 21.261638 50.913171 142.527123
2025-05-25 1.192931 2.252478 4.365622 9.203671 20.996189 51.326794 147.705536